The North Dakota Oil Production Stats are out. North Dakota crude oil production was down just less than 10,000 barrels per day.
Bakken crude oil production was down 7,743 bpd in March while all North Dakota production was down 9,846 barrels per day.
From the Director’s Cut:
March 13,024 (preliminary) (all-time high was Oct 2015 13,190)
February 70 drilling and 1 seismic
March 56 drilling and 4 seismic
April 66 drilling and 0 seismic (all time high was 370 in 10/2012)
ND Sweet Crude Price
Today $33.00/barrel (all-time high was $136.29 7/3/2008)
Today’s rig count is 27 (lowest since July 2005 when it was 27)(all-time high was 218 on 5/29/2012)
The drilling rig count fell 8 from February to March, 3 from March to April, and 2 more from April to today. Operators remain committed to running the minimum number of rigs while oil prices remain below $60/barrel WTI. The number of well completions fell from 64(final) in February to 59(preliminary) in March. Oil price weakness is the primary reason for the slow-down and is now anticipated to last into at least the third quarter of this year and perhaps into the second quarter of 2017. There were no significant precipitation events, 4 days with wind speeds in excess of 35 mph (too high for completion work), and no days with temperatures below -10F.
Over 98% of drilling now targets the Bakken and Three Forks formations.
Estimated wells waiting on completion services is 920, up 13 from the end of February to the end of March. Estimated inactive well count is 1,523, up 84 from the end of February to the end of March.
Looking at the longer term chart we can see that the increase in production beginning in around 2011 was very steep while the decline has been less dramatic.
North Dakota change in barrels per day, 12 month trailing average, actually went negative in September of 2015. It is unlikely to go positive for at least two years, if it ever does again.
Bakken barrels per day per well now stands at 101 barrels for the Bakken an 87 for North Dakota.
North Dakota Wells Producing has plateaued. North Dakota wells producing in March was actually 83 wells less than it was in October 2015. Of course new wells are added each month but old wells are shut down.