Short Term Energy Outlook, February 2025

D Coyne 3 Comments

The EIA Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) was published recently. An estimate for World C+C output from November 2024 to December 2026 is presented in the chart below. This estimate is based on crude oil estimates in the STEO for OPEC12 nations, OPEC+ minus OPEC12 nations, and US C+C estimates and the trend in the ratio of the STEO crude estimates and C+C estimates from the EIA’s International Energy Statistics for OPEC12, OPEC+ minus OPEC12, and non-OPEC+ minus US C+C output from November 2018 to October 2024. For the next 4 charts the horizontal and vertical scales are the same, with 9 years on the horizontal axis and 12000 kb/d from the lowest to highest values on the vertical axis so the differences in rates of change are easier to compare. The thin line represents monthly data or forecasts after October 2024 and the markers with labels show the average annual output for each year.

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October Non-OPEC and World Oil Production Rose

Ovi 74 Comments

By Ovi

The focus of this post is an overview of World oil production along with a more detailed review of the top 11 Non-OPEC oil producing countries. OPEC production is covered in a separate post.

Below are a number of Crude plus Condensate (C + C) production charts, usually shortened to “oil”, for oil producing countries. The charts are created from data provided by the EIA’s International Energy Statistics and are updated to October 2024. This is the latest and most detailed/complete World oil production information available. Information from other sources such as OPEC, the STEO and country specific sites such as Brazil, Norway, Mexico and China is used to provide a short term outlook. 

World oil production increased by 930 kb/d in October to 81,739 kb/d, green graph. The largest increases came from Libya, 500 kb/d, and Canada, 325 kb/d. These two countries last month were the two largest decliners. November’s World oil production is projected to increase by 117 kb/d to 81,856 kb/d.

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U.S. November Oil Production Drops to Year Ago Level

Ovi 156 Comments

By Ovi

All of the Crude plus Condensate (C + C) production data, oil, for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM which provides updated information up to November 2024.

U.S. November oil production decreased by 122 kb/d to 13,314 kb/d, only 6 kb/d higher than December 2024. The largest decreases came from Texas, 70 kb/d, New Mexico 38 kb/d and the GOM 108 kb/d.

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