The EIA’s Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) was published in early September. The chart below estimates World C+C by using the STEO forecast combined with past data from the EIA on World Output.
Tag: EIA
March 2023 Non-OPEC Oil Production Drops
A post by Ovi
Below are a number of Crude plus Condensate (C + C) production charts, usually shortened to “oil”, for Non-OPEC countries. Normally the charts are created from data provided by the EIA’s International Energy Statistics in the first week of the month. Unfortunately the EIA was not able to update the production information for March until today. Consequently the charts below are produced from a mixture of country specific sites such as Brazil, Norway and China and the July STEO and the International report. The International report was used to update the March production data.
Where STEO data was used, the ratio of C + C to All Liquids was calculated. The average from the last six months was used to project the March production numbers and extended to May in a few cases.
World oil production charts are found at the end of this post.
March Non-OPEC oil production dropped by 268 kb/d to 51,434 kb/d. The largest decreases came from the Russia, 300 kb/d and Brazil 146 kb/d.
Read MoreUS January Oil Production at Post Pandemic High
A Guest post by Ovi
All of the Crude plus Condensate (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs March Petroleum Supply monthly PSM which provides updated information up to January 2023.
U.S. oil production increased by 437 kb/d to 12,462 kb/d, a post pandemic high. For January, the GOM contributed 125 kb/d to this high. The states with the largest increase were North Dakota with 97 kb/d followed by Texas with 76 kb/d.
Read MoreEIA Short Term Energy Outlook and Annual Energy Outlook 2023
The EIA updated the Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) in March and also released the 2023 version of the Annual Energy Outlook in March. This post will take a brief look at both of these reports with a focus on Crude plus Condensate (C+C) Output for the World, OPEC and Non-OPEC in the case of the STEO through the fourth quarter of 2024 and US C+C output for three oil price cases from 2022 to 2050, reference (medium oil price), high and low oil price cases.
Short Term Energy Outlook, February 2023
The Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) was published by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) on February 7, 2023. For most nations except the US and total OPEC crude oil output the forecast for future production is for total liquids only. In this month’s post I will try to estimate the crude plus condensate (C+C) output indicated by the STEO total liquids estimate for the top 10 non-OPEC producers and the World minus the top 10 non-OPEC producers. I will focus on quarterly output so that we can compare with recent OPEC estimates for World supply and demand in 2023. The estimate for C+C uses historical output of both C+C and total liquids and uses the average of the ratio of C+C to total liquids for the past 12 quarters (2019Q4 to 2022Q3) for the top 10 non-OPEC producers (except the US where a C+C forecast is provided) and for the World minus the top 10 non-OPEC producers. In most of the charts that follow the units on the vertical axis are kb/d of C+C output.
