The EIA’s Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) was published in early May. The report that follows compares World Petroleum Liquids output from the STEO with estimates from OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) from May and the IEA’s Oil Market Report (OMR) from February 2023 with an update on World liquids output based on the summary of the May report with my estimate on quarterly output in 2023 based on the annual estimate for 2023 published in May 2023 and the quarterly numbers published in February 2023.
Read MoreTag: IEA
OPEC Update, November 17, 2022
The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) for November 2022 was published recently. The last month reported in most of the OPEC charts that follow is October 2022 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d). In most of the OPEC charts that follow the blue line is monthly output and the red line is the centered twelve month average (CTMA) output. I also show a number of charts from the recent World Energy Outlook 2022, published by the IEA in October. I focus on a selection of charts from Chapter 7 of that report which covers oil.
Read MoreOPEC Update, May 2021
The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for May 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is April 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d). In most of the charts that follow there is a red (and in one case yellow) line without markers which is the centered twelve month average (CTMA) for output. Note that this a change from the way Ron Patterson has reported the average data for many years which used a trailing twelve month average. Essentially the curve shifts back in time by 5 months as I choose July as the center month for the January to December 12 month average.
Read MoreEIA Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) and IEA Oil Market Report
The IEA Oil Market Report was published in mid April, data from the report can be found here.
The EIA’s STEO was published on May 9, 2017.
I assume in the chart above that OPEC crude output is 32 Mb/d in the last three quarters of 2017. Read More
IEA Oil Market Report- December 2016
The IEA released highlights for the December Oil Market report in mid December. I have used information from the November report and assumed OPEC crude output will be 32.7 Mb/d and non OPEC output will be 500 kb/d below the November report supply estimate. I have also used the demand estimates from the December highlights. Read More