All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM. After the state production charts, an analysis of two EIA monthly reports that project future production is provided. The charts below are updated to May 2022 for the 10 largest US oil producing states.
By Ovi at peakoilbarrel.
Normally near the end of the month an update on world oil output is posted here. However this month the EIA’s world oil report will appear too close to the US monthly report. For this month, in its place, this space will be filled with the three oil growth projections that the EIA published in April along with other oil production related information. The world report will be posted after the US report, later in May.
The STEO provides projections for the next 13 – 24 months for US C + C and NGPLs production. The April 2021 report presents EIAʼs updated oil output and price projections to December 2022.
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel
All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US states comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM. At the end of the production charts, an analysis of three different EIA monthly reports projecting future production is provided. The charts below are updated to May 2020 for the 10 largest US oil producing states.
May’s production drop is just short of 2 Mb/d by 11 kb/d. Awesome. US oil fields began a slow and steady decline from November 2019 to March 2020. March brought the combination of CV-19 and oil price drop that led to the sharp production plunges in April and May. Since the current EIA data is two months delayed, May is the second month that shows the combined effects of the pandemic and low oil prices. Will June drop below 10,000 kb/d?
Read MoreA post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel
Below are a number of oil (C + C ) production charts for Non-OPEC countries created from data provided by the EIA’s International Energy Statistics and updated to March 2020. Information from other sources such as the OPEC and country specific sites is used to provide a short term outlook for future output and direction.
Near the end, there is a section comparing World oil production with World oil production W/O the US. Interestingly, World oil W/O the US peaked two years before World oil production. The last section provides a short summary of The Shift Report, where it shows the increasing difficulty oil producing countries will have in offsetting decline in old oil fields and the difficulty in getting back to pre-pandemic supply levels.
It would be appreciated if we could have some further comments on these two sections before the Covid comments start. Does the fact that world oil production W/O the US peaked two years before World oil production make it more likely that November 2018 will continue to be the date for Peak Oil? Are there any weaknesses or missing or newer information that could shift the Shift Report time frame for meeting world demand post 2025?
New tight oil estimates were recently released by the EIA. The chart below compares estimates from Dec 2018 to May 2019, where the Dec 2018 estimate is that estimate with the most recent month estimated being Dec 2018 and likewise the May 2019 estimate has May 2019 as the most recent month estimated. The May 2019 estimate is fairly close to the April 2019 estimate with a slight downward revision of the April 2019 estimate from 7399 kb/d to 7368 kb/d, March 2019 was also revised lower by 10 kb/d from 7292 kb/d to 7282 kb/d. For May 2019 the most recent estimate is 7462 kb/d and if past history repeats this estimate may be revised lower next month.
