Non-OPEC production according to the EIA International Energy Statistics

Below are a number of Non-OPEC charts created from data provided by the EIA International Energy Statistics.

Since the EIA site is still in the Beta stage, the data and countries listed change from month to month.

Ron has been doing a lot of work with OPEC production data and the EIA US data.  I am adding the EIA’s Non-OPEC charts to provide a world overview of how the production from a range of countries is progressing.

The charts below are primarily for the world’s largest Non-OPEC producers and are updated to June 2019, except for the U.S., which is updated to July 2019.  If you are interested in additional countries, let it be known.

The first set of charts is for Non-OPEC countries and the last few provide a world overview.  Under some charts, I will add country comments from the IEA since I have updated data from them up to August 2019.  While the IEA production numbers reflect “all liquids”, their June to August increments provide an indication of how the trend in the EIA charts will change by August, since that is their latest data.

A personal note: I am not an oil expert. However, I do enjoy playing with numbers and looking at charts.  I am a follower of this great site because of my interest in the Peak Oil question/issue.  I do appreciate the info and insight provided by the experts on this site and want to thank Dennis and Ron and other posters and followers for keeping this site active and current. 

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EIA tight oil estimates

The US Energy Information Administration publishes Tight Oil Production Estimates by Play each month (can be found at link above.)  I noticed this month that the estimates seemed different than I remembered so I checked earlier estimates I had saved on my computer.  The chart below compares estimates from Dec 2018 to April 2019 (where the last month of data in the estimate is Dec 2018, Feb 2019, March 2019, and April 2019).

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World Exports versus Consumption, The ELM

The EIA has updated their International Energy Statistics with annual production numbers through 2014 and export data through 2012. Sometimes these stats can be confusing as they include several types of production and exports. But for production I use only “Crude plus Condensate” and for exports I used “Crude Oil Exports” which I assume includes condensate as well.

Also the export data is not exact, just close, because some importers are also exporters. For instance in 2001 the US exported 59,000 barrels per day. In 2012 the US exported 629,000 barrels per day. The exporting of condensate is allowed in the US and since the Shale boom condensate exports have increased quite dramatically because Light Tight Oil is rather top heavy with condensate.

To get exports versus consumption for exporting nations I simply subtracted their exports from their production. The difference was what they consumed. Similar data can be found on the Energy Export Databrowser.

I think the data clearly endorses Jeffrey Brown’s Export Land Model.

World E v C

In 2012 76,160,000 barrels of C+C were produced per day. Of that 76 million barrels 42,845,000 barrels were exported while the other 33,315,000 barrels was consumed by the producing nations. That is this is oil that was never exported.

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Texas RRC Crude and Condensate Data, Is Eagle Ford Peaking?

This page Texas Oil and Gas Production was last updated on February 18. However the data on this page has been updated. And the January production has been updated also: Oil and Gas Production Data Query then check “Lease”, “Both”, Statewide and then punch in the appropriate dates. Then when the next page comes up click on “Monthly Totals”. This brings up the updated monthly totals for Crude, Casinghead Gas, Gas Well Gas and Condensate.

There were revisions going back to July 2010 but only 2013 had any major revisions though there were some 2012 revisions also as the chart below shows.

Texas Revisions

The earlier revisions were smaller and there were some of them that were negative. That is the figures were revised downward.

This chart compares Texas with North Dakota. This is all Texas not just Eagle Ford. The last data point for all is January 2014.

Texas + North Dakota

Though there is a lot of conventional production in Texas, the increase is nevertheless about all tight oil. And these two states produce perhaps 95% of all tight oil produced in the United States. And that is about 2  million barrels so far if the Texas RRC is close.

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