A guest post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel
Below are a number of oil (C + C ) production charts for Non-OPEC countries created from data provided by the EIAʼs International Energy Statistics and updated to January 2021. Information from other sources such as OPEC, the STEO and country specific sites such as Russia, Norway and China is used to provide a short term outlook for future output and direction for a few countries and the world.
By Ovi at peakoilbarrel.
Normally near the end of the month an update on world oil output is posted here. However this month the EIA’s world oil report will appear too close to the US monthly report. For this month, in its place, this space will be filled with the three oil growth projections that the EIA published in April along with other oil production related information. The world report will be posted after the US report, later in May.
The STEO provides projections for the next 13 – 24 months for US C + C and NGPLs production. The April 2021 report presents EIAʼs updated oil output and price projections to December 2022.
The EIA publishes reserve data for the USA, usually in December of the following year – so that the figures presented here are for 2019. Only proved category reserves are shown and the numbers are based on companies’ annual reports and 10-k or 20-f filings (so that last year’s numbers are now being addressed as most companies have filed). Not every company is included, otherwise the net acquisitions and dispersals (the yellow bars) would surely have to sum to zero, but most are and all the big players. Net adjustments include revisions (which may be technical or economic) and other adjustments, which are fiddle factors to make the numbers add up but are usually zero or small; improved recovery is here included as discoveries and extensions. The yellow dashed line shows the net change.
The creaming curve for lease sales in Brazil looks like it is turning towards the asymptote overall. Unfortunately there is insufficient data provided to allow land and marine leasing to be separated but I expect that the curve for land is close to the limit but that for marine areas is barely half way. The average take up of offers has remained high, which suggests APB, the Brazilian authority in charge, is discerning about what it offers.
A post by Ovi at peakoilbarrel
All of the oil (C + C) production data for the US state charts comes from the EIAʼs Petroleum Supply monthly PSM. After the production charts, an analysis of three EIA monthly reports that project future US production is provided. The charts below are updated to December 2020 for the 10 largest US oil producing states.
