Future US Light Tight Oil (LTO) update

In a previous post on US LTO future output there were suggestions that a bottom up approach might be better than the top down approach and I agree. I will attempt the bottom up approach here. The chart below is a quick summary, based on three different oil price scenarios (high, medium, and low). The dashed line is just the average of the low and high oil price scenarios. Data is from Enno Peters’ website shaleprofile.com and the EIA. (Click on “Tight Oil Production Estimates” for tight oil output data.)

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OPEC February Production

The new January OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is out with crude only production numbers for February 2017. All charts are in thousand barrels per day.

All data below is in thousand barrels per day and is through February 2017.

OPEC crude oil production dropped to 31,958,000 bpd in January. That was a drop of 140,000 bpd. In January OPEC production dropped 930,000 bpd for a two month total of 1,070,000 bpd.

Officially OPEC agreed to cut production by 1.2 million barrels per day beginning in January. So they are getting close.

OPEC’s November production of 33,374,000 represented an all time high for the Cartel.

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